Written on 7/24/2024

Win Prediction Texas Rangers and Chicago White Sox : July 25th 2024

The Texas Rangers will face off against the Chicago White Sox on July 25, 2024, in what appears to be a lopsided matchup. Based on current performance and key statistics, the Rangers are heavily favored to win this game for multiple reasons and here is why:

Pitching Matchup

Chicago White Sox: Jonathan Cannon

  • Record: 1-4

  • Innings Pitched: 57

  • ERA: 4.58

  • Strikeouts: 43

  • Walks: 13

Cannon has struggled in his first season in the MLB with a not-very-strong ERA and a 1-4 record. His performance so far indicates difficulty in controlling the game, which could be a significant disadvantage against the previous season's champions, the Rangers.

Texas Rangers: Max Scherzer

  • Record: 1-3

  • Innings Pitched: 29.1

  • ERA: 3.99

  • Strikeouts: 24

  • Walks: 6

Despite an early exit in his last game due to arm fatigue, Scherzer remains one of the league's elite pitchers with a career spanning 12 years. Still maintaining a better ERA as a veteran and his past success against the White Sox, including a 2.50 ERA and a 14-6 record, adds to the Rangers' advantage.

Team Performance

Chicago White Sox

  • Season Record: 27-76, 5th in AL Central

  • Current Losing Streak: 10 games

  • Road Performance: losing at almost an 80% rate

The White Sox are on a 10-game losing streak and have struggled significantly against the Rangers in recent matchups losing 10 of the last 11 extending to last season. Their offense has a low-scoring trend, with the total going under in 8 of their last 9 games.

Texas Rangers

  • Season Record: 49-52, 3rd in AL West

  • Recent Performance: 9-4 in last 13 games

  • Home Performance: Strong, winning 7 of the last 8 games at Globe Life Field againsts White Soxs

The Rangers have shown dominance against the White Sox, sweeping their last series and maintaining a strong home record. Their pitchers have successfully contained the White Sox's offense, producing a 1.76 ERA in their last five home games.

Betting Odds

  • Rangers Odds to Win: -282

  • White Sox Odds to Win: +231

  • Spread: Rangers -1.5

  • Total: o/u 8 runs

The betting odds heavily favor the Rangers, reflecting their superior form and the White Sox's poor performance. The Rangers have won 56.6% (30/53) of the games where they were the moneyline favorite, while the White Sox have won only 10% (1/10) of their games as significant underdogs.

Prediction

Given the current form, historical data, and pitching matchup, the Texas Rangers are expected to win this game comfortably. Scherzer's experience and the Rangers' strong home performance further tilt the scales in their favor. The White Sox's ongoing struggles and poor road record make it unlikely for them to break their losing streak in this matchup.

Prediction: Texas Rangers to win (-282)


NOTES


  • Pitchers

  • White Soxs: Jonathan Cannon

    • This season: 1-4 record, 57 innings pitched, 4.58 ERA, 43 K, 13 BB

    • Only season

  • Rangers : Max Scherzer 1-3 record, 29.1 IP, 3.99 ERA, 24 K, 6 BB

    • 12th year in the league, one of best pitchers league has had, recovering from injury currently

    • early exit from Saturday’s outing against the Orioles due to arm fatigue. (few days prior)

  • Chicago White Sox (27-76, 5th in AL Central) take on the take the Texas Rangers (49-52, 3rd in AL West)

  • White soxs on a 10 game losing streak

  • Rangers odds to win: -282

  • White Sox odds to win: +231

  • Spread: Rangers -1.5

  • Total: 8 runs

  • WHITE SOXS

  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games.

  • Chi White Sox are 0-8 SU in their last 8 games.

  • Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against Texas.

  • RANGERS

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas' last 6 games.

  • Texas are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games.


https://statsalt.com/games/mlb/7-25-2024/chicago-white-sox-vs-texas-rangers-prediction-2393/

  • The Rangers swept the White Sox 3-0 in their previous series, played in Texas towards the end of last season. The Rangers won all three games of the current series (4 game series this time)

  •  Scherzer has produced a 14-6 record with a 2.50 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 25 starts versus the White Sox. He won his prior start against them, which came in Texas last season. He went six innings and allowed three runs on seven hits while striking out nine batters.

  •  The Rangers dominated the White Sox last season, coming out on top in five of their six matchups and sweeping them in their last series, played in Texas in August

  • Rangers have won 7 of the last 8 games at globe life field

  • Texas hurlers have had success against the White Sox offense recently, producing a lean 2.60 ERA in their previous 10 games overall and a 1.76 ERA in their prior five games in front of the home crowd. The White Sox have been dreadful on the road this year, losing at almost an 80% clip. 


https://www.bleachernation.com/picks/2024/07/24/rangers-vs-white-sox-prediction-expert-picks-odds-stats-best-bets-wednesday-july-24-2024/

  • The Rangers have won 30 of the 53 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (56.6%).

  • The White Sox have entered the game as underdogs 95 times this season and won 22, or 23.2%, of those games.

  • This season, Chicago has won one of its 10 games, or 10%, when it’s the underdog by at least +231 on the moneyline.